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Major League Soccer · USA
New York City FC vs CF Montreal prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Citi Field, Flushing
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
New York City FC host CF Montreal in the Major League Soccer (USA) on 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is New York City FC Win — New York City FC to win. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: New York City FC 1–1 CF Montreal.
Going into the match, New York City FC had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 13. CF Montreal had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of New York City FC's last 10 and 5 of CF Montreal's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home New York City FC averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 14 matches; away from home CF Montreal averaged 1.08 scored and 2.33 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.60 goals from New York City FC and 0.84 from CF Montreal. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 19%, against 68%, 19% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between New York City FC (green) and CF Montreal (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York City FC | WDDLL | 1.10 | 1.30 | 60% | 50% |
| CF Montreal | LLDDL | 0.80 | 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Apr 2026 · CF Montreal 1–0 New York City FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| New York City FC Win | 68% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Major League Soccer matches that day
- Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas · 31 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - St. Louis City vs San Diego · 31 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.36 · FT 1–0 - Columbus Crew vs DC United · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Columbus Crew Win @ 1.36 - Charlotte vs Orlando City SC · 31 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.30 · FT 4–0