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Major League Soccer · USA
FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · TQL Stadium, Cincinnati
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Cincinnati host Philadelphia Union in the Major League Soccer (USA) on 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, FC Cincinnati had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 22. Philadelphia Union had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 28 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of FC Cincinnati's last 10 and 6 of Philadelphia Union's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Cincinnati averaged 2.56 goals scored and 1.88 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Philadelphia Union averaged 2.31 scored and 2.00 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.95 goals from FC Cincinnati and 2.52 from Philadelphia Union. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 50%, against 40%, 24% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Cincinnati (green) and Philadelphia Union (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati | DWWLL | 1.70 | 2.20 | 70% | 80% |
| Philadelphia Union | DLDWW | 2.80 | 1.10 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 Sep 2026 · Philadelphia Union 5–0 FC Cincinnati
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 70% | 1.36 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.36 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 50% | 1.91 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 50% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- FC Cincinnati form and statistics
- Philadelphia Union form and statistics
- Major League Soccer statistics
Other Major League Soccer matches that day
- Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas · 31 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - St. Louis City vs San Diego · 31 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Columbus Crew vs DC United · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Columbus Crew Win @ 1.36 - New York City FC vs CF Montreal · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: New York City FC Win @ 1.40 - Charlotte vs Orlando City SC · 31 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.30