NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 15:40 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.50Market probability 62%Final score 0–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

NEOM host Al-Ettifaq in the Pro League (Saudi Arabia) on 17 Oct 2026, 15:40 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: NEOM 0–1 Al-Ettifaq.

Going into the match, NEOM had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 8. Al-Ettifaq had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of NEOM's last 10 and 4 of Al-Ettifaq's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home NEOM averaged 2.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Al-Ettifaq averaged 1.70 scored and 1.20 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.40 goals from NEOM and 0.93 from Al-Ettifaq. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 24%, against 50%, 25% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between NEOM (green) and Al-Ettifaq (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form63% – 38%

Attack67% – 33%

Defence64% – 36%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals50% – 50%

Overall strength57% – 42%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
NEOM	WDWWW	2.10	0.80	40%	50%
Al-Ettifaq	WDDDW	1.40	1.30	40%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

21 May 2026 · NEOM 1–1 Al-Ettifaq

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 1X	75%	1.25
BTTS 1st Half - No	75%	1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	73%	1.28
Under 3.5 Goals	62%	1.50
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	61%	1.53
BTTS Yes	59%	1.57
Over 2.5 Goals	58%	1.62
Over 8.5 Corners	56%	1.67

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.