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Liga MX · Mexico
Necaxa vs FC Juarez prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Necaxa host FC Juarez in the Liga MX (Mexico) on 24 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Necaxa had won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 21. FC Juarez had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 25 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Necaxa's last 10 and 5 of FC Juarez's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Necaxa averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home FC Juarez averaged 1.14 scored and 2.50 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.79 goals from Necaxa and 1.16 from FC Juarez. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 24%, against 56%, 24% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Necaxa (green) and FC Juarez (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Necaxa Win | 54% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga MX matches that day
- Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis · 24 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC · Liga MX
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40