Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.40Market probability 66%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Atlante FC host Atletico San Luis in the Liga MX (Mexico) on 24 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Atlante FC had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 14. Atletico San Luis had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 17 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Atlante FC's last 10 and 7 of Atletico San Luis's last 10; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atlante FC averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Atletico San Luis averaged 1.46 scored and 2.00 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.26 goals from Atlante FC and 1.71 from Atletico San Luis. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 47%, against 42%, 27% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Atlante FC (green) and Atletico San Luis (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form41% – 59%

Attack41% – 59%

Defence50% – 50%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals50% – 50%

Overall strength46% – 53%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Atlante FC	WLLWD	0.90	1.40	50%	30%
Atletico San Luis	WDLWW	1.40	1.70	70%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Over 1.5 Goals	77%	1.22
BTTS 1st Half - No	77%	1.22
Double Chance 12	73%	1.28
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	70%	1.33
Under 3.5 Goals	66%	1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	63%	1.50
BTTS Yes	58%	1.62
Over 2.5 Goals	54%	1.75

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.