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Second League - Group 1 · Russia
Nart Cherkessk vs Astrakhan prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Stadium Nart, Cherkessk
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nart Cherkessk host Astrakhan in the Second League - Group 1 (Russia) on 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Nart Cherkessk had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Astrakhan had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Nart Cherkessk's last 10 and 5 of Astrakhan's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nart Cherkessk averaged 0.92 goals scored and 0.77 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Astrakhan averaged 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.60 goals from Nart Cherkessk and 0.93 from Astrakhan. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 21%, against 55%, 24% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nart Cherkessk (green) and Astrakhan (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nart Cherkessk | LLWWD | 1.30 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
| Astrakhan | LLDLW | 0.70 | 1.60 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Apr 2026 · Astrakhan 1–1 Nart Cherkessk
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Nart Cherkessk Win | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Second League - Group 1 matches that day
- Spartak Nalchik vs Dynamo Makhachkala II · 31 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Second League - Group 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals - Druzhba vs Pobeda · 31 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Second League - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.20 - Rubin Yalta vs Rostov II · 31 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Second League - Group 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Angust Nazran vs Izberbash · 31 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Second League - Group 1
Published pick: Angust Nazran Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.22 - Sevastopol vs Shahter Taganrog · 31 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Second League - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Kyzyltash vs Lugansk · 31 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Second League - Group 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes