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Second League - Group 1 · Russia
Druzhba vs Pobeda prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Adygeyskiy Respublikanskiy Stadion Druzhba, Maykop
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Druzhba host Pobeda in the Second League - Group 1 (Russia) on 31 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Druzhba had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 12. Pobeda had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Druzhba's last 10 and 6 of Pobeda's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Druzhba averaged 1.80 goals scored and 1.07 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Pobeda averaged 1.23 scored and 1.54 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.74 goals from Druzhba and 1.52 from Pobeda. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 33%, against 43%, 23% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Druzhba (green) and Pobeda (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Apr 2026 · Pobeda 0–1 Druzhba
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.29 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.51 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.55 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.59 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 49% | 1.94 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Second League - Group 1 matches that day
- Nart Cherkessk vs Astrakhan · 31 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Second League - Group 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Spartak Nalchik vs Dynamo Makhachkala II · 31 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Second League - Group 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals - Rubin Yalta vs Rostov II · 31 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Second League - Group 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Angust Nazran vs Izberbash · 31 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Second League - Group 1
Published pick: Angust Nazran Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.22 - Sevastopol vs Shahter Taganrog · 31 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Second League - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Kyzyltash vs Lugansk · 31 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Second League - Group 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes