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Ligue 2 · France
Nantes vs Dunkerque prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Nantes host Dunkerque in the Ligue 2 (France) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Nantes 2–3 Dunkerque.
Going into the match, Nantes had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 15. Dunkerque had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Nantes's last 10 and 4 of Dunkerque's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nantes averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Dunkerque averaged 1.63 scored and 2.00 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.58 goals from Nantes and 1.33 from Dunkerque. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 31%, against 56%, 26% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Nantes (green) and Dunkerque (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Nantes Win | 56% | 1.60 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 2 matches that day
- RED Star FC 93 vs Saint Etienne · 17 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Ligue 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Metz vs Sochaux · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Ligue 2
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 · FT 3–2