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Ligue 2 · France
Metz vs Sochaux prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Metz host Sochaux in the Ligue 2 (France) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Metz 3–2 Sochaux.
Going into the match, Metz had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 15. Sochaux had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Metz's last 10 and 5 of Sochaux's last 10; 6 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Metz averaged 2.27 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Sochaux averaged 0.75 scored and 1.13 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.81 goals from Metz and 0.96 from Sochaux. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 19%, against 51%, 28% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Metz (green) and Sochaux (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Jul 2026 · Metz 4–1 Sochaux
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 79% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Metz Win | 53% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 2 matches that day
- RED Star FC 93 vs Saint Etienne · 17 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Ligue 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Nantes vs Dunkerque · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Ligue 2
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 2–3