Nanjing City vs Hebei Kungfu prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.36Market probability 68%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Nanjing City host Hebei Kungfu in the League One (China) on 18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Nanjing City 1–0 Hebei Kungfu.

Going into the match, Nanjing City had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 19. Hebei Kungfu had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 6 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Nanjing City's last 10 and 5 of Hebei Kungfu's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Nanjing City averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Hebei Kungfu averaged 0.92 scored and 0.92 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.62 goals from Nanjing City and 0.93 from Hebei Kungfu. From that it rates a home win at 22%, a draw at 38% and an away win at 40%, against 50%, 27% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 47%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Nanjing City (green) and Hebei Kungfu (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form8% – 92%

Attack29% – 71%

Defence8% – 92%

Head-to-head7% – 93%

Goals27% – 73%

Overall strength20% – 80%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Nanjing City	DLLLL	0.60	1.90	60%	40%
Hebei Kungfu	DWWDW	1.50	0.60	50%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

27 Jun 2026 · Hebei Kungfu 2–1 Nanjing City

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	73%	1.25
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	71%	1.33
Over 1.5 Goals	68%	1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	66%	1.44
Under 2.5 Goals	57%	1.65
Under 8.5 Corners	54%	1.73
BTTS No	53%	1.73
Nanjing City Win	47%	1.80

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.