Meizhou Kejia vs Nantong Zhiyun prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.40Market probability 67%Final score 0–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Meizhou Kejia host Nantong Zhiyun in the League One (China) on 18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Meizhou Kejia 0–1 Nantong Zhiyun.

Going into the match, Meizhou Kejia had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 22. Nantong Zhiyun had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Meizhou Kejia's last 10 and 5 of Nantong Zhiyun's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Meizhou Kejia averaged 1.36 goals scored and 2.45 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Nantong Zhiyun averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.74 goals from Meizhou Kejia and 1.84 from Nantong Zhiyun. From that it rates a home win at 13%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 63%, against 16%, 22% and 62% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Meizhou Kejia (green) and Nantong Zhiyun (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form25% – 75%

Attack36% – 64%

Defence14% – 86%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals44% – 56%

Overall strength33% – 67%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Meizhou Kejia	LDLWL	0.90	2.20	60%	60%
Nantong Zhiyun	WWWLW	1.50	0.80	50%	30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

27 Jun 2026 · Nantong Zhiyun 1–3 Meizhou Kejia

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Over 1.5 Goals	76%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	70%	1.33
Under 3.5 Goals	67%	1.40
Nantong Zhiyun Win	63%	1.45
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	63%	1.50
Over 2.5 Goals	53%	1.75
BTTS No	51%	1.80
Under 2.5 Goals	47%	2.05

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.