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Premier League · Belarus
Naftan vs FC Isloch Minsk R. prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Naftan host FC Isloch Minsk R. in the Premier League (Belarus) on 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is FC Isloch Minsk R. Win — FC Isloch Minsk R. to win. It was published at odds of 1.39, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Naftan had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 22. FC Isloch Minsk R. had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Naftan's last 10 and 6 of FC Isloch Minsk R.'s last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Naftan averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home FC Isloch Minsk R. averaged 1.33 scored and 0.83 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.88 goals from Naftan and 2.44 from FC Isloch Minsk R.. From that it rates a home win at 11%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 71%, against 12%, 21% and 67% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naftan | LWWDL | 1.10 | 2.20 | 30% | 60% |
| FC Isloch Minsk R. | WDLWD | 1.70 | 1.00 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Jun 2026 · FC Isloch Minsk R. 3–1 Naftan
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.31 |
| FC Isloch Minsk R. Win | 68% | 1.39 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.47 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.74 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.74 |
| FC Isloch Minsk R. HT & FT | 50% | 1.92 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.02 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- FC Vitebsk vs ML Vitebsk · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: ML Vitebsk Win @ 1.64 - Bate Borisov vs Belshina · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.75 - FC Gomel vs Dinamo Minsk · 24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.74