Home › League stats › Premier League › FC Vitebsk vs ML Vitebsk
Premier League · Belarus
FC Vitebsk vs ML Vitebsk prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Vitebsk host ML Vitebsk in the Premier League (Belarus) on 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is ML Vitebsk Win — ML Vitebsk to win. It was published at odds of 1.41, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, FC Vitebsk had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 6. ML Vitebsk had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of FC Vitebsk's last 10 and 5 of ML Vitebsk's last 10; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Vitebsk averaged 1.55 goals scored and 0.55 conceded across 11 matches; away from home ML Vitebsk averaged 2.20 scored and 1.13 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.89 goals from FC Vitebsk and 1.13 from ML Vitebsk. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 40%, against 12%, 23% and 65% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 40%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Vitebsk | WDLWD | 1.20 | 0.60 | 10% | 20% |
| ML Vitebsk | WWWWD | 2.00 | 0.50 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Jun 2026 · ML Vitebsk 1–2 FC Vitebsk
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.42 |
| ML Vitebsk Win | 64% | 1.41 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.71 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.08 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Bate Borisov vs Belshina · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.32 - Naftan vs FC Isloch Minsk R. · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.41 - FC Gomel vs Dinamo Minsk · 24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Dinamo Minsk Win @ 1.67