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2. Division · Denmark
Naestved vs Nykobing FC prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Naestved host Nykobing FC in the 2. Division (Denmark) on 2 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Naestved 1–1 Nykobing FC.
Going into the match, Naestved had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 10. Nykobing FC had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 27 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Naestved's last 10 and 7 of Nykobing FC's last 10; 3 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Naestved averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.31 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Nykobing FC averaged 2.27 scored and 0.82 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.14 goals from Naestved and 1.76 from Nykobing FC. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 51%, against 34%, 28% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Naestved (green) and Nykobing FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naestved | DDWDW | 1.30 | 1.00 | 70% | 30% |
| Nykobing FC | DWWDW | 2.70 | 1.30 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Aug 2026 · Nykobing FC 1–1 Naestved
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.