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Second League - Group 2 · Russia
Murom vs Cherepovets prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · Viktor Losev Stadion, Murom
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Murom host Cherepovets in the Second League - Group 2 (Russia) on 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Murom Win — Murom to win. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Murom had won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 3. Cherepovets had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Murom's last 10 and 5 of Cherepovets's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Murom averaged 2.15 goals scored and 0.46 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Cherepovets averaged 1.00 scored and 1.92 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.26 goals from Murom and 0.49 from Cherepovets. From that it rates a home win at 77%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 6%, against 73%, 15% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murom | WDDWW | 2.20 | 0.30 | 30% | 60% |
| Cherepovets | WLLLW | 1.10 | 1.60 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Murom Win | 76% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.21 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.29 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.39 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.65 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 48% | 1.97 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Second League - Group 2 matches that day
- Dinamo Vologda vs Baltika II · 1 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC · Second League - Group 2
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 - Torpedo Vladimir vs Chertanovo Moscow · 1 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC · Second League - Group 2
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.31