Home › League stats › Championship › Moyola Park vs Newington Youth
Championship · Northern Ireland
Moyola Park vs Newington Youth prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Moyola Park host Newington Youth in the Championship (Northern Ireland) on 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Moyola Park 2–3 Newington Youth.
Going into the match, Moyola Park had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 19. Newington Youth had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Moyola Park's last 10 and 4 of Newington Youth's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Moyola Park averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Newington Youth averaged 1.00 scored and 1.78 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.62 goals from Moyola Park and 2.10 from Newington Youth. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 48%, against 22%, 23% and 54% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Moyola Park (green) and Newington Youth (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moyola Park | WLWDL | 1.00 | 1.90 | 40% | 50% |
| Newington Youth | LLWLD | 2.00 | 1.90 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Newington Youth Win | 55% | 1.65 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 44% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Championship matches that day
- Ards vs Institute · 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 0–2 - Glenavon FC vs H&W Welders · 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 4–0 - Strabane Athletic vs Loughgall · 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 · FT 1–1