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Championship · Northern Ireland
Glenavon FC vs H&W Welders prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Glenavon FC host H&W Welders in the Championship (Northern Ireland) on 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Glenavon FC 4–0 H&W Welders.
Going into the match, Glenavon FC had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 11. H&W Welders had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Glenavon FC's last 10 and 7 of H&W Welders's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Glenavon FC averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.78 conceded across 9 matches; away from home H&W Welders averaged 1.90 scored and 1.50 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.16 goals from Glenavon FC and 1.24 from H&W Welders. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 21%, against 41%, 25% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Glenavon FC (green) and H&W Welders (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glenavon FC | DWWWD | 2.50 | 1.10 | 80% | 70% |
| H&W Welders | DLLLL | 1.50 | 1.60 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 44% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Championship matches that day
- Ards vs Institute · 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 0–2 - Moyola Park vs Newington Youth · 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–3 - Strabane Athletic vs Loughgall · 16 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 · FT 1–1