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Premiership · Scotland
Motherwell vs ST Mirren prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Fir Park, Motherwell
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Motherwell host ST Mirren in the Premiership (Scotland) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 80% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Motherwell had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 23. ST Mirren had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 24 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Motherwell's last 10 and 6 of ST Mirren's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Motherwell averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.73 conceded across 11 matches; away from home ST Mirren averaged 1.69 scored and 1.54 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.64 goals from Motherwell and 1.45 from ST Mirren. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 33%, against 51%, 24% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Motherwell (green) and ST Mirren (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motherwell | DLLLL | 1.20 | 2.30 | 50% | 70% |
| ST Mirren | DWLLL | 1.00 | 2.40 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 Aug 2026 · ST Mirren 3–3 Motherwell
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 80% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premiership matches that day
- Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premiership
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20