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Premiership · Scotland
Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, Kilmarnock
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kilmarnock host ST Johnstone in the Premiership (Scotland) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 79% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Kilmarnock had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 18. ST Johnstone had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Kilmarnock's last 10 and 6 of ST Johnstone's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kilmarnock averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.55 conceded across 11 matches; away from home ST Johnstone averaged 1.58 scored and 0.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.42 goals from Kilmarnock and 1.40 from ST Johnstone. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 36%, against 41%, 26% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kilmarnock (green) and ST Johnstone (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock | LLWLD | 0.80 | 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
| ST Johnstone | DLDWD | 0.90 | 1.40 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 Aug 2026 · ST Johnstone 4–3 Kilmarnock
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 79% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premiership matches that day
- Motherwell vs ST Mirren · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premiership
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20