Morrinhos vs Grêmio Anápolis prediction and preview

11 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.44Market probability 64%Final score 2–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Morrinhos host Grêmio Anápolis in the Goiano - 2 (Brazil) on 11 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Morrinhos to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Morrinhos 2–2 Grêmio Anápolis.

Going into the match, Morrinhos had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 16. Grêmio Anápolis had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 17 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Morrinhos's last 10 and 7 of Grêmio Anápolis's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Morrinhos averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Grêmio Anápolis averaged 0.75 scored and 2.25 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.14 goals from Morrinhos and 1.35 from Grêmio Anápolis. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 23%, against 36%, 29% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Morrinhos (green) and Grêmio Anápolis (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%

Attack42% – 58%

Defence56% – 44%

Head-to-head75% – 25%

Goals78% – 22%

Overall strength62% – 37%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Morrinhos	LLWLD	1.20	1.60	80%	70%
Grêmio Anápolis	WLLDL	1.30	1.70	70%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

25 Jul 2026 · Grêmio Anápolis 0–1 Morrinhos