Mornar vs Mladost DG prediction and preview

22 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Mornar WinOdds 1.48Market probability 64%Final score 4–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Mornar host Mladost DG in the First League (Montenegro) on 22 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Mornar Win — Mornar to win. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Mornar 4–1 Mladost DG.

Going into the match, Mornar had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 10. Mladost DG had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 17 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Mornar's last 10 and 3 of Mladost DG's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mornar averaged 1.21 goals scored and 0.64 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Mladost DG averaged 1.25 scored and 1.75 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.05 goals from Mornar and 0.74 from Mladost DG. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 11%, against 61%, 23% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Mornar (green) and Mladost DG (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%

Attack67% – 33%

Defence50% – 50%

Head-to-head100% – 0%

Goals76% – 24%

Overall strength63% – 36%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Mornar	WWDWD	1.90	1.00	60%	50%
Mladost DG	DWDLW	1.20	1.70	30%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

2 Oct 2026 · Mladost DG 1–5 Mornar
16 Aug 2026 · Mladost DG 2–3 Mornar
26 Apr 2026 · Mladost DG 1–2 Mornar

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	68%	1.33
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	66%	1.37
Mornar Win	64%	1.48
BTTS No	54%	1.69
Over 2.5 Goals	50%	1.90
Under 2.5 Goals	50%	1.90
Mornar HT & FT	43%	2.20
1-0	14%	6.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.