Buducnost Podgorica vs Arsenal Tivat prediction and preview

22 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Buducnost Podgorica WinOdds 1.48Market probability 64%Final score 3–3

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Buducnost Podgorica host Arsenal Tivat in the First League (Montenegro) on 22 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Buducnost Podgorica Win — Buducnost Podgorica to win. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Buducnost Podgorica 3–3 Arsenal Tivat.

Going into the match, Buducnost Podgorica had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Arsenal Tivat had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Buducnost Podgorica's last 10 and 5 of Arsenal Tivat's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Buducnost Podgorica averaged 1.42 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Arsenal Tivat averaged 0.93 scored and 1.93 conceded across 14.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.94 goals from Buducnost Podgorica and 0.67 from Arsenal Tivat. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 11%, against 60%, 23% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Buducnost Podgorica (green) and Arsenal Tivat (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form81% – 19%

Attack67% – 33%

Defence92% – 8%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals57% – 43%

Overall strength69% – 30%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Buducnost Podgorica	WDDWW	1.20	0.60	30%	30%
Arsenal Tivat	LDLWL	0.70	1.40	50%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

16 Aug 2026 · Arsenal Tivat 0–0 Buducnost Podgorica
27 Jun 2026 · Buducnost Podgorica 4–1 Arsenal Tivat
18 Apr 2026 · Buducnost Podgorica 0–2 Arsenal Tivat

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	77%	1.20
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	68%	1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	66%	1.41
Buducnost Podgorica Win	63%	1.48
BTTS No	53%	1.70
Over 8.5 Corners	52%	1.82
Over 2.5 Goals	50%	1.90
Under 2.5 Goals	50%	1.90

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.