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UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · International

Moldova U21 vs Kazakhstan U21 prediction and preview

6 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.36Market probability 67%Final score 3–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Moldova U21 host Kazakhstan U21 in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (International) on 6 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Moldova U21 to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Moldova U21 3–2 Kazakhstan U21.

Going into the match, Moldova U21 had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 2. Kazakhstan U21 had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 4, with 6 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 1 of Moldova U21's last 3 and 3 of Kazakhstan U21's last 4; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Moldova U21 averaged 3.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Kazakhstan U21 averaged 1.50 scored and 3.00 conceded across 4.

The 1X2 prices imply about 40% for Moldova U21, 27% for the draw and 33% for Kazakhstan U21 once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Moldova U21 (green) and Kazakhstan U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form75% – 25%
Attack30% – 70%
Defence62% – 38%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals50% – 50%
Overall strength53% – 47%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Moldova U21DWW2.000.6733%67%
Kazakhstan U21LLLL1.503.0075%75%

Averages over each side's last 4 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1273%1.25
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals71%1.33
Over 1.5 Goals69%1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals66%1.44
Under 2.5 Goals56%1.67
BTTS No51%1.80
Over 8.5 Corners50%1.83
Over 2.5 Goals44%2.15

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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