ML Vitebsk vs Neman prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.39Market probability 69%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

ML Vitebsk host Neman in the Premier League (Belarus) on 18 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.39, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: ML Vitebsk 1–0 Neman.

Going into the match, ML Vitebsk had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 5. Neman had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 7 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of ML Vitebsk's last 10 and 4 of Neman's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home ML Vitebsk averaged 1.53 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Neman averaged 1.29 scored and 0.93 conceded across 14.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.69 goals from ML Vitebsk and 0.70 from Neman. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 14%, against 54%, 27% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between ML Vitebsk (green) and Neman (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form46% – 54%

Attack57% – 43%

Defence50% – 50%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals46% – 54%

Overall strength51% – 48%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
ML Vitebsk	WWWDD	2.00	0.50	50%	30%
Neman	WWLWW	1.60	0.70	40%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

30 May 2026 · Neman 1–2 ML Vitebsk

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	73%	1.28
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	70%	1.32
Over 1.5 Goals	69%	1.39
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	64%	1.45
Under 2.5 Goals	55%	1.64
ML Vitebsk Win	53%	1.70
BTTS No	51%	1.80
Over 2.5 Goals	45%	2.19

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.