FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Bate Borisov prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.34Market probability 69%Final score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

FC Dnepr Mogilev host Bate Borisov in the Premier League (Belarus) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.34, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: FC Dnepr Mogilev 2–1 Bate Borisov.

Going into the match, FC Dnepr Mogilev had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 18. Bate Borisov had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of FC Dnepr Mogilev's last 10 and 3 of Bate Borisov's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Dnepr Mogilev averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Bate Borisov averaged 0.65 scored and 1.29 conceded across 17.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.14 goals from FC Dnepr Mogilev and 0.95 from Bate Borisov. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 29%, against 39%, 28% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between FC Dnepr Mogilev (green) and Bate Borisov (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form33% – 67%

Attack60% – 40%

Defence44% – 56%

Head-to-head75% – 25%

Goals63% – 38%

Overall strength57% – 42%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
FC Dnepr Mogilev	LLDLD	1.20	1.80	70%	60%
Bate Borisov	LWLLD	0.70	1.20	30%	30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

31 May 2026 · Bate Borisov 1–1 FC Dnepr Mogilev

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	71%	1.31
Over 1.5 Goals	69%	1.34
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	69%	1.35
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	65%	1.42
Under 2.5 Goals	55%	1.70
BTTS Yes	51%	1.81
Over 2.5 Goals	45%	2.09
FC Dnepr Mogilev Win	39%	2.33

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.