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AFC Champions League Two · International
Melbourne Victory vs FC Seoul prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 07:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Melbourne Victory host FC Seoul in the AFC Champions League Two (International) on 14 Oct 2026, 07:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Melbourne Victory Win — Melbourne Victory to win. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Melbourne Victory 3–0 FC Seoul.
Going into the match, Melbourne Victory had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 6. FC Seoul had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Melbourne Victory's last 10 and 5 of FC Seoul's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Melbourne Victory averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 2 matches; away from home FC Seoul averaged 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.36 goals from Melbourne Victory and 0.56 from FC Seoul. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 14%, against 61%, 22% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Melbourne Victory (green) and FC Seoul (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory | DDWDD | 1.30 | 0.60 | 30% | 30% |
| FC Seoul | WLLWL | 2.30 | 1.00 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.34 |
| Melbourne Victory Win | 62% | 1.48 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| Melbourne Victory HT & FT | 39% | 2.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.