Mebrat Hayl vs Sheger Ketema prediction and preview

20 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.28Market probability 72%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Mebrat Hayl host Sheger Ketema in the Premier League (Ethiopia) on 20 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Sheger Ketema to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Mebrat Hayl 1–0 Sheger Ketema.

Going into the match, Mebrat Hayl had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Sheger Ketema had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 5 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Mebrat Hayl's last 10 and 1 of Sheger Ketema's last 10; 4 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mebrat Hayl averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Sheger Ketema averaged 1.00 scored and 0.67 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.61 goals from Mebrat Hayl and 0.66 from Sheger Ketema. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 43% and an away win at 30%, against 29%, 36% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Mebrat Hayl (green) and Sheger Ketema (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form20% – 80%

Attack0% – 100%

Defence0% – 100%

Head-to-head80% – 20%

Goals100% – 0%

Overall strength50% – 50%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Mebrat Hayl	DLWDW	1.00	0.90	60%	40%
Sheger Ketema	DWWWL	0.80	0.50	10%	10%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance X2	72%	1.28
BTTS No	63%	1.46
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	53%	1.73
Sheger Ketema Win	37%	2.50
Draw	36%	2.50
0-0	23%	4.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.