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Premier League · Ethiopia
Mebrat Hayl vs Adama Kenema prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mebrat Hayl host Adama Kenema in the Premier League (Ethiopia) on 9 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.51, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mebrat Hayl 0–1 Adama Kenema.
Going into the match, Mebrat Hayl had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Adama Kenema had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Mebrat Hayl's last 10 and 4 of Adama Kenema's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mebrat Hayl averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Adama Kenema averaged 0.71 scored and 1.29 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.85 goals from Mebrat Hayl and 0.90 from Adama Kenema. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 33%, against 36%, 33% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mebrat Hayl (green) and Adama Kenema (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mebrat Hayl | WDWDL | 1.00 | 1.00 | 60% | 40% |
| Adama Kenema | WLDWL | 1.10 | 1.00 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 Apr 2026 · Adama Kenema 0–1 Mebrat Hayl
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 69% | 1.30 |
| BTTS No | 61% | 1.51 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 54% | 1.71 |
| Mebrat Hayl Win | 35% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.70 |
| 0-0 | 20% | 4.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.