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III Liga - Group 1 · Poland
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Pelikan Łowicz prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki host Pelikan Łowicz in the III Liga - Group 1 (Poland) on 10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.46, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 1–4 Pelikan Łowicz.
Going into the match, Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 15. Pelikan Łowicz had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki's last 10 and 6 of Pelikan Łowicz's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki averaged 2.29 goals scored and 1.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Pelikan Łowicz averaged 1.17 scored and 1.67 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.94 goals from Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki and 1.74 from Pelikan Łowicz. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 34%, against 50%, 23% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki (green) and Pelikan Łowicz (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | DLWWW | 2.50 | 1.50 | 80% | 80% |
| Pelikan Łowicz | DWWLW | 1.40 | 1.10 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.26 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.46 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.61 |
| Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Win | 48% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 38% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.