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Júniores U19 · Portugal
Mafra U19 vs Casa Pia U19 prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mafra U19 host Casa Pia U19 in the Júniores U19 (Portugal) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.56, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Mafra U19 0–1 Casa Pia U19.
Going into the match, Mafra U19 had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 9 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Casa Pia U19 had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 7, with 9 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Mafra U19's last 9 and 3 of Casa Pia U19's last 7; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mafra U19 averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Casa Pia U19 averaged 0.33 scored and 1.33 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.10 goals from Mafra U19 and 1.12 from Casa Pia U19. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 35%, against 36%, 26% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 46%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Mafra U19 (green) and Casa Pia U19 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mafra U19 | DDLWD | 1.22 | 1.44 | 44% | 44% |
| Casa Pia U19 | WDLLD | 1.29 | 1.29 | 43% | 29% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.29 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.43 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.56 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.08 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Júniores U19 matches that day
- Benfica U19 vs Sporting CP U19 · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Júniores U19
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 4–0 - Porto U19 vs Gil Vicente U19 · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Júniores U19
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 5–0 - Moreirense U19 vs Feirense U19 · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Júniores U19
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.25 - Rio Ave U19 vs Sporting Braga U19 · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Júniores U19
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.60 - SC Farense U19 vs União Leiria U19 · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Júniores U19
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Academico Viseu U19 · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Júniores U19
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.68 · FT 4–1 - Alverca U19 vs Oriental U19 · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Júniores U19
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 2–1 - Santa Clara U19 vs Torreense U19 · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Júniores U19
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 1–1 - Famalicão U19 vs Vizela U19 · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Júniores U19
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.67