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Júniores U19 · Portugal
Alverca U19 vs Oriental U19 prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Alverca U19 host Oriental U19 in the Júniores U19 (Portugal) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Alverca U19 2–1 Oriental U19.
Going into the match, Alverca U19 had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 9 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 15. Oriental U19 had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 7, with 8 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Alverca U19's last 9 and 4 of Oriental U19's last 7; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Alverca U19 averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Oriental U19 averaged 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.24 goals from Alverca U19 and 1.17 from Oriental U19. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 33%, against 31%, 28% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Alverca U19 (green) and Oriental U19 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alverca U19 | LDDLL | 1.33 | 1.67 | 56% | 56% |
| Oriental U19 | LWDWL | 1.14 | 1.00 | 57% | 57% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.23 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.41 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Oriental U19 Win | 42% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Júniores U19 matches that day
- Benfica U19 vs Sporting CP U19 · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Júniores U19
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 4–0 - Porto U19 vs Gil Vicente U19 · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Júniores U19
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 5–0 - Mafra U19 vs Casa Pia U19 · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Júniores U19
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.56 · FT 0–1 - Moreirense U19 vs Feirense U19 · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Júniores U19
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.25 - Rio Ave U19 vs Sporting Braga U19 · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Júniores U19
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.60 - SC Farense U19 vs União Leiria U19 · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Júniores U19
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Academico Viseu U19 · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Júniores U19
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.68 · FT 4–1 - Santa Clara U19 vs Torreense U19 · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Júniores U19
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 1–1 - Famalicão U19 vs Vizela U19 · 17 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Júniores U19
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.67