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3. Division - Girone 4 · Norway
Madla vs Staal Jørpeland prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Madla host Staal Jørpeland in the 3. Division - Girone 4 (Norway) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.43, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Madla 3–1 Staal Jørpeland.
Going into the match, Madla had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 10. Staal Jørpeland had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 26 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Madla's last 10 and 8 of Staal Jørpeland's last 10; 6 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Madla averaged 2.23 goals scored and 1.23 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Staal Jørpeland averaged 2.27 scored and 2.45 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.48 goals from Madla and 1.17 from Staal Jørpeland. From that it rates a home win at 80%, a draw at 12% and an away win at 8%, against 73%, 15% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Madla (green) and Staal Jørpeland (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madla | WLLWD | 2.30 | 1.00 | 50% | 60% |
| Staal Jørpeland | LWLDW | 2.00 | 2.60 | 80% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Apr 2026 · Staal Jørpeland 0–3 Madla
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Madla Win | 73% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 70% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.43 |
| Madla HT & FT | 58% | 1.60 |
| Madla 1st Half Win | 56% | 1.59 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.69 |
| 2-1 | 11% | 8.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 3. Division - Girone 4 matches that day
- Vindbjart vs Varhaug · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · 3. Division - Girone 4
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Haugesund II vs Mandalskameratene · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 3. Division - Girone 4
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals - Hinna vs Viking II · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 3. Division - Girone 4
Published pick: Double Chance X2