Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.33Market probability 70%Final score 3–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Machida Zelvia host Avispa Fukuoka in the J1 League (Japan) on 18 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Machida Zelvia 3–0 Avispa Fukuoka.

Going into the match, Machida Zelvia had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 9. Avispa Fukuoka had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Machida Zelvia's last 10 and 6 of Avispa Fukuoka's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Machida Zelvia averaged 1.44 goals scored and 0.56 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Avispa Fukuoka averaged 1.18 scored and 1.55 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.17 goals from Machida Zelvia and 0.56 from Avispa Fukuoka. From that it rates a home win at 74%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 7%, against 51%, 28% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Machida Zelvia (green) and Avispa Fukuoka (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form71% – 29%

Attack64% – 36%

Defence50% – 50%

Head-to-head64% – 36%

Goals71% – 29%

Overall strength64% – 35%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Machida Zelvia	WWDWL	1.50	0.90	60%	40%
Avispa Fukuoka	LWLDL	0.80	1.30	60%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 1X	78%	1.20
Over 1.5 Goals	70%	1.33
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	69%	1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	67%	1.40
Under 2.5 Goals	54%	1.73
Machida Zelvia Win	51%	1.80
BTTS No	51%	1.80
Over 8.5 Corners	50%	1.83

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.