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J1 League · Japan
Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 04:55 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Fagiano Okayama host Vissel Kobe in the J1 League (Japan) on 18 Oct 2026, 04:55 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Fagiano Okayama 0–3 Vissel Kobe.
Going into the match, Fagiano Okayama had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 14. Vissel Kobe had won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Fagiano Okayama's last 10 and 5 of Vissel Kobe's last 10; 9 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fagiano Okayama averaged 1.55 goals scored and 0.73 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Vissel Kobe averaged 1.25 scored and 1.58 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.05 goals from Fagiano Okayama and 1.33 from Vissel Kobe. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 42%, against 33%, 30% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Fagiano Okayama (green) and Vissel Kobe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fagiano Okayama | DLWWL | 1.90 | 1.40 | 80% | 90% |
| Vissel Kobe | WLWWW | 1.80 | 0.80 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 May 2026 · Vissel Kobe 0–3 Fagiano Okayama
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Vissel Kobe Win | 37% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J1 League matches that day
- Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka · 18 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33