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UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · International
Luxembourg U21 vs Estonia U21 prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Luxembourg U21 host Estonia U21 in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (International) on 6 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Luxembourg U21 3–0 Estonia U21.
Going into the match, Luxembourg U21 had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 8. Estonia U21 had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 2, with 1 scored and 4 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Luxembourg U21's last 4 and 1 of Estonia U21's last 2; 2 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Luxembourg U21 averaged 0.00 goals scored and 0.00 conceded across 0 matches; away from home Estonia U21 averaged 0.00 scored and 0.00 conceded across 0.
The 1X2 prices imply about 54% for Luxembourg U21, 25% for the draw and 21% for Estonia U21 once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Luxembourg U21 (green) and Estonia U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luxembourg U21 | LWLD | 0.75 | 2.00 | 25% | 50% |
| Estonia U21 | LL | 0.50 | 2.00 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 4 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 80% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Luxembourg U21 Win | 54% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.