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Regionalliga - Nordost · Germany
Luckenwalde vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Luckenwalde host FC Carl Zeiss Jena in the Regionalliga - Nordost (Germany) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Luckenwalde 1–2 FC Carl Zeiss Jena.
Going into the match, Luckenwalde had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 24. FC Carl Zeiss Jena had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Luckenwalde's last 10 and 6 of FC Carl Zeiss Jena's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Luckenwalde averaged 0.85 goals scored and 1.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home FC Carl Zeiss Jena averaged 1.56 scored and 1.00 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.63 goals from Luckenwalde and 2.03 from FC Carl Zeiss Jena. From that it rates a home win at 10%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 69%, against 20%, 21% and 59% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Luckenwalde (green) and FC Carl Zeiss Jena (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luckenwalde | WWLLL | 1.30 | 2.40 | 70% | 80% |
| FC Carl Zeiss Jena | WWLLW | 1.60 | 1.10 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 70% | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.42 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.49 |
| FC Carl Zeiss Jena Win | 59% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.58 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 42% | 2.17 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Luckenwalde form and statistics
- FC Carl Zeiss Jena form and statistics
- Regionalliga - Nordost statistics
Other Regionalliga - Nordost matches that day
- BFC Preussen vs Altglienicke · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Regionalliga - Nordost
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.49 · FT 1–3 - Lokomotive Leipzig vs BSG Chemie Leipzig · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Regionalliga - Nordost
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50