Lokomotive Leipzig vs BSG Chemie Leipzig prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.50Market probability 63%Final score 2–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Lokomotive Leipzig host BSG Chemie Leipzig in the Regionalliga - Nordost (Germany) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Lokomotive Leipzig 2–2 BSG Chemie Leipzig.

Going into the match, Lokomotive Leipzig had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 19. BSG Chemie Leipzig had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 16 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Lokomotive Leipzig's last 10 and 7 of BSG Chemie Leipzig's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lokomotive Leipzig averaged 1.69 goals scored and 2.08 conceded across 13 matches; away from home BSG Chemie Leipzig averaged 1.38 scored and 0.92 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.82 goals from Lokomotive Leipzig and 1.43 from BSG Chemie Leipzig. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 29%, against 55%, 24% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Lokomotive Leipzig (green) and BSG Chemie Leipzig (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form46% – 54%

Attack48% – 52%

Defence52% – 48%

Head-to-head60% – 40%

Goals70% – 30%

Overall strength52% – 48%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Lokomotive Leipzig	DLWDD	1.70	1.90	80%	80%
BSG Chemie Leipzig	LWLWD	1.30	1.60	70%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

12 Apr 2026 · BSG Chemie Leipzig 1–0 Lokomotive Leipzig

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Over 1.5 Goals	78%	1.20
Double Chance 12	77%	1.20
BTTS 1st Half - No	77%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	72%	1.30
Under 3.5 Goals	63%	1.50
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	61%	1.53
Over 2.5 Goals	58%	1.65
BTTS Yes	57%	1.67

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.