Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.66Market probability 59%Final score 3–3

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Lokomotiv host FC Krasnodar in the Premier League (Russia) on 17 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.66, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Lokomotiv 3–3 FC Krasnodar.

Going into the match, Lokomotiv had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 10. FC Krasnodar had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 9 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Lokomotiv's last 10 and 4 of FC Krasnodar's last 10; 3 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lokomotiv averaged 1.37 goals scored and 0.63 conceded across 19 matches; away from home FC Krasnodar averaged 1.23 scored and 0.77 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.24 goals from Lokomotiv and 1.14 from FC Krasnodar. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 32%, against 27%, 28% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Lokomotiv (green) and FC Krasnodar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form54% – 46%

Attack57% – 43%

Defence60% – 40%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals40% – 60%

Overall strength47% – 52%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Lokomotiv	DWWLD	1.30	1.00	40%	30%
FC Krasnodar	LLDDD	1.00	0.90	40%	20%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Over 1.5 Goals	75%	1.26
Double Chance X2	73%	1.34
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	70%	1.34
Under 3.5 Goals	69%	1.39
BTTS Yes	56%	1.66
Under 9.5 Corners	55%	1.71
Over 2.5 Goals	52%	1.86
Under 2.5 Goals	48%	2.02

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.