Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.79Market probability 52%Final score 1–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Krylia Sovetov host Fakel in the Premier League (Russia) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.79, which the bookmaker market rated at about 52% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Krylia Sovetov 1–2 Fakel.

Going into the match, Krylia Sovetov had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 14. Fakel had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 15 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Krylia Sovetov's last 10 and 4 of Fakel's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Krylia Sovetov averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Fakel averaged 1.18 scored and 1.55 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.28 goals from Krylia Sovetov and 1.13 from Fakel. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 32%, against 49%, 27% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Krylia Sovetov (green) and Fakel (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form88% – 13%

Attack75% – 25%

Defence60% – 40%

Head-to-head71% – 29%

Goals73% – 27%

Overall strength71% – 28%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Krylia Sovetov	LDDWD	1.30	1.40	60%	50%
Fakel	WLWLD	0.80	1.50	40%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 1X	76%	1.27
Over 1.5 Goals	72%	1.32
Under 3.5 Goals	72%	1.30
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	68%	1.38
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	67%	1.40
Under 9.5 Corners	55%	1.71
BTTS Yes	52%	1.79
Under 2.5 Goals	52%	1.83

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.