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Primera A · Colombia
Llaneros vs Santa Fe prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 23:05 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Llaneros host Santa Fe in the Primera A (Colombia) on 18 Oct 2026, 23:05 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Llaneros 1–0 Santa Fe.
Going into the match, Llaneros had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 19. Santa Fe had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Llaneros's last 10 and 5 of Santa Fe's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Llaneros averaged 1.56 goals scored and 0.89 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Santa Fe averaged 1.25 scored and 1.00 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.83 goals from Llaneros and 1.33 from Santa Fe. From that it rates a home win at 22%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 47%, against 33%, 31% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Llaneros (green) and Santa Fe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.65 |
| BTTS Yes | 49% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.20 |
| Santa Fe Win | 36% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera A matches that day
- Deportivo Cali vs Junior · 19 Oct 2026, 01:10 UTC · Primera A
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 0–0 - Bucaramanga vs America de Cali · 18 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · Primera A
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 1–1