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Primera A · Colombia
Bucaramanga vs America de Cali prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bucaramanga host America de Cali in the Primera A (Colombia) on 18 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bucaramanga 1–1 America de Cali.
Going into the match, Bucaramanga had won 5, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 10. America de Cali had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Bucaramanga's last 10 and 6 of America de Cali's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bucaramanga averaged 2.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded across 10 matches; away from home America de Cali averaged 1.06 scored and 1.00 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.15 goals from Bucaramanga and 1.19 from America de Cali. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 36%, against 36%, 30% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bucaramanga (green) and America de Cali (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucaramanga | DWWWD | 1.90 | 1.00 | 80% | 50% |
| America de Cali | LWWDL | 1.80 | 1.00 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| BTTS Yes | 49% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera A matches that day
- Deportivo Cali vs Junior · 19 Oct 2026, 01:10 UTC · Primera A
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 0–0 - Llaneros vs Santa Fe · 18 Oct 2026, 23:05 UTC · Primera A
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 1–0