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UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · International

Lithuania U21 vs Croatia U21 prediction and preview

6 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Croatia U21 WinOdds 1.25Market probability 73%Final score 0–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Lithuania U21 host Croatia U21 in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (International) on 6 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Croatia U21 Win — Croatia U21 to win. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Lithuania U21 0–1 Croatia U21.

Going into the match, Lithuania U21 had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 2. Croatia U21 had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with 8 scored and 5 conceded.

Both teams scored in 1 of Lithuania U21's last 1 and 3 of Croatia U21's last 5; 1 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lithuania U21 averaged 0.00 goals scored and 0.00 conceded across 0 matches; away from home Croatia U21 averaged 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 1.

The 1X2 prices imply about 9% for Lithuania U21, 17% for the draw and 73% for Croatia U21 once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Lithuania U21 (green) and Croatia U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form8% – 92%
Attack20% – 80%
Defence15% – 85%
Head-to-head0% – 100%
Goals7% – 93%
Overall strength12% – 87%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Lithuania U21L1.002.00100%100%
Croatia U21LWDWD1.601.0060%40%

Averages over each side's last 5 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Croatia U21 Win73%1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals73%1.28
Under 3.5 Goals61%1.53
Over 2.5 Goals60%1.57
2nd Half Higher Goals58%2.10
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals58%1.62
BTTS No56%1.67
Croatia U21 HT & FT55%1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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