Home › League stats › Premiership › Linfield vs Bangor
Premiership · Northern Ireland
Linfield vs Bangor prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Linfield host Bangor in the Premiership (Northern Ireland) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Linfield 2–0 Bangor.
Going into the match, Linfield had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 7. Bangor had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Linfield's last 10 and 6 of Bangor's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Linfield averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.62 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Bangor averaged 1.50 scored and 1.43 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.99 goals from Linfield and 0.80 from Bangor. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 13%, against 73%, 17% and 9% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Linfield (green) and Bangor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Linfield Win | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.50 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.