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Division 2 - Södra Götaland · Sweden
Lilla Torg vs Nosaby prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lilla Torg host Nosaby in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Sweden) on 2 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Lilla Torg to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lilla Torg 2–3 Nosaby.
Going into the match, Lilla Torg had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 20. Nosaby had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Lilla Torg's last 10 and 5 of Nosaby's last 10; 7 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lilla Torg averaged 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Nosaby averaged 1.10 scored and 2.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.95 goals from Lilla Torg and 1.47 from Nosaby. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 28%, against 39%, 25% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lilla Torg (green) and Nosaby (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lilla Torg | DDDWW | 1.80 | 2.00 | 90% | 70% |
| Nosaby | WDLWL | 1.90 | 1.60 | 50% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 Jun 2026 · Nosaby 3–3 Lilla Torg
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.