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Division 2 - Södra Götaland · Sweden
Lilla Torg vs Karlshamn prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lilla Torg host Karlshamn in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Sweden) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.43, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lilla Torg 5–1 Karlshamn.
Going into the match, Lilla Torg had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 19. Karlshamn had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 31 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Lilla Torg's last 10 and 6 of Karlshamn's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lilla Torg averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.36 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Karlshamn averaged 1.09 scored and 2.73 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.20 goals from Lilla Torg and 0.97 from Karlshamn. From that it rates a home win at 80%, a draw at 13% and an away win at 7%, against 51%, 24% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lilla Torg (green) and Karlshamn (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lilla Torg | DLDDD | 1.70 | 1.90 | 90% | 60% |
| Karlshamn | LWLLL | 1.00 | 3.10 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 7 Jun 2026 · Karlshamn 2–0 Lilla Torg
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.43 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.42 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.63 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.63 |
| Lilla Torg Win | 51% | 1.76 |
| Double Chance X2 | 49% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Division 2 - Södra Götaland matches that day
- Berga vs Linero · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.67 · FT 0–2 - Karlskrona vs Räppe · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 - Nosaby vs Österlen · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.35 - Staffanstorp United vs IFK Trelleborg · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.46 - Torns vs Sölvesborg · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 0–6 - Växjö Norra vs Oskarshamns AIK · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.46