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Premier League 2 Division One · England
Leeds United U21 vs Crystal Palace U21 prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Leeds United U21 host Crystal Palace U21 in the Premier League 2 Division One (England) on 18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Leeds United U21 1–4 Crystal Palace U21.
Going into the match, Leeds United U21 had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 21. Crystal Palace U21 had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Leeds United U21's last 10 and 6 of Crystal Palace U21's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Leeds United U21 averaged 2.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Crystal Palace U21 averaged 1.33 scored and 2.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.25 goals from Leeds United U21 and 1.74 from Crystal Palace U21. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 29%, against 38%, 23% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Leeds United U21 (green) and Crystal Palace U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United U21 | LWLWW | 2.30 | 2.10 | 70% | 70% |
| Crystal Palace U21 | LLLWW | 1.10 | 2.20 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 69% | 1.32 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.34 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Double Chance 1X | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 53% | 1.78 |
| Crystal Palace U21 Win | 39% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Leeds United U21 form and statistics
- Crystal Palace U21 form and statistics
- Premier League 2 Division One statistics
Other Premier League 2 Division One matches that day
- Brighton U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21 · 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Premier League 2 Division One
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 3–3 - Brentford U21 vs Fulham U21 · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Premier League 2 Division One
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Tottenham Hotspur U21 vs Leicester City U21 · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Premier League 2 Division One
Published pick: Tottenham Hotspur U21 Win @ 1.50 · FT 2–0