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Premier League 2 Division One · England
Brighton U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21 prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Brighton U21 host AFC Bournemouth U21 in the Premier League 2 Division One (England) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Brighton U21 3–3 AFC Bournemouth U21.
Going into the match, Brighton U21 had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 16. AFC Bournemouth U21 had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Brighton U21's last 10 and 8 of AFC Bournemouth U21's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Brighton U21 averaged 2.14 goals scored and 0.57 conceded across 7 matches; away from home AFC Bournemouth U21 averaged 1.67 scored and 2.67 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.48 goals from Brighton U21 and 1.79 from AFC Bournemouth U21. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 27%, against 54%, 22% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Brighton U21 (green) and AFC Bournemouth U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton U21 | LWLWW | 2.00 | 1.60 | 70% | 80% |
| AFC Bournemouth U21 | WWLWW | 2.00 | 1.70 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.43 |
| Brighton U21 Win | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Brighton U21 HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
| 2-1 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Brighton U21 form and statistics
- AFC Bournemouth U21 form and statistics
- Premier League 2 Division One statistics
Other Premier League 2 Division One matches that day
- Brentford U21 vs Fulham U21 · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Premier League 2 Division One
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Tottenham Hotspur U21 vs Leicester City U21 · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Premier League 2 Division One
Published pick: Tottenham Hotspur U21 Win @ 1.50 · FT 2–0 - Leeds United U21 vs Crystal Palace U21 · 18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Premier League 2 Division One
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40