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II Liga - East · Poland
Lechia Zielona Góra vs Górnik Łęczna prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 10:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lechia Zielona Góra host Górnik Łęczna in the II Liga - East (Poland) on 24 Oct 2026, 10:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Lechia Zielona Góra had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 16. Górnik Łęczna had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Lechia Zielona Góra's last 10 and 6 of Górnik Łęczna's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lechia Zielona Góra averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.56 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Górnik Łęczna averaged 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.66 goals from Lechia Zielona Góra and 1.43 from Górnik Łęczna. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 32%, against 32%, 26% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lechia Zielona Góra (green) and Górnik Łęczna (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lechia Zielona Góra | DLWLW | 1.10 | 1.60 | 60% | 50% |
| Górnik Łęczna | LLWDD | 1.80 | 1.20 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other II Liga - East matches that day
- Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Legia Warszawa II · 24 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · II Liga - East
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Hutnik Kraków vs Olimpia Grudziądz · 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · II Liga - East
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Rekord Bielsko-Biała vs Resovia Rzeszów · 24 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · II Liga - East
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50