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Serie C - Girone B · Italy
Latina vs Vis Pesaro prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Latina host Vis Pesaro in the Serie C - Girone B (Italy) on 18 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Latina 1–0 Vis Pesaro.
Going into the match, Latina had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 11. Vis Pesaro had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 25 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Latina's last 10 and 8 of Vis Pesaro's last 10; 3 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Latina averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Vis Pesaro averaged 0.60 scored and 2.70 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.20 goals from Latina and 0.77 from Vis Pesaro. From that it rates a home win at 69%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 11%, against 56%, 25% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Latina (green) and Vis Pesaro (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latina | WDDLD | 1.30 | 1.10 | 60% | 30% |
| Vis Pesaro | LWLLL | 1.20 | 2.50 | 80% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Latina Win | 56% | 1.60 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie C - Girone B matches that day
- Pescara vs Ostia Mare · 18 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone B
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Gubbio vs Atalanta II · 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 0–2 - Ravenna vs Spezia · 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 · FT 0–1 - Campobasso FC vs Perugia · 18 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone B
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 · FT 1–5