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Serie C - Girone B · Italy
Gubbio vs Atalanta II prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gubbio host Atalanta II in the Serie C - Girone B (Italy) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gubbio 0–2 Atalanta II.
Going into the match, Gubbio had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 18. Atalanta II had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Gubbio's last 10 and 6 of Atalanta II's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gubbio averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Atalanta II averaged 1.11 scored and 1.67 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.45 goals from Gubbio and 1.43 from Atalanta II. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 36%, against 36%, 29% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gubbio (green) and Atalanta II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gubbio | LLLLD | 1.50 | 1.80 | 50% | 60% |
| Atalanta II | LLLWW | 1.30 | 1.70 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie C - Girone B matches that day
- Pescara vs Ostia Mare · 18 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone B
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Ravenna vs Spezia · 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 · FT 0–1 - Campobasso FC vs Perugia · 18 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone B
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 · FT 1–5 - Latina vs Vis Pesaro · 18 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone B
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40